NFL Football

Saturday, September 29

I have 1 Best Bets and 2 Strong Opinions for the weekend available on the Subscriptions page.

Week 4 NFL

My favorites ranked from most to least

1.  Green Bay at Minnesota-  2 Star Best Bet

2.  Kansas City at San Diego- 1 Star Strong Opinion

3.  Oakland at Miami- 1 Star Strong Opinion

Free selections for the remaining 11 games of Week 4

4.  New Orleans at Tampa Bay

5.  Washington at Philadelphia

6.  Houston at Carolina

7.  Cincinnati at Cleveland

8.  Kansas City at Chicago

9.  San Francisco at St Louis

10. buffalo +10 at PITTSBURGH

11. new york jets +10 at BALTIMORE

12. NEW YORK GIANTS +1.5 hosting green bay

13. NEW ENGLAND -3.5 hosting san diego

14. JACKSONVILLE -10 hosting atlanta

 

Season Win Totals Over/Under

My favorite season over/under is shorting the KC Chiefs at 7.5 wins.  I am going UNDER 7.5 wins (-135) for 5 Stars.  The loss of major chucks of the offensive line over the past two season, coupled with questionable QB play going into the season, and the heavy workloads LJ has had the past 2 years, cause me to want to fade KC.  This could be a train wreck of a season.

My other favorites include:

Short Baltimore at 9.5 wins.  I like the UNDER on 9.5, and Superbook carries an option to short at 9 wins for (+135).  For the record, I'll put 3 Stars on BAL UNDER 9.5 for -110.

Short Indianapolis on Superbook at 9.5 wins for +115.  The Colts were very fortunate last season in close games, and the loss of several defensive players and offensive linemen over the past few seasons will begin to catch up with them.  I actually like JACK to win the AFC South if you can find them for about 3-1.  Put 2 Stars on IND UNDER 9.5 wins.

Take Philly OVER 9.5 wins for 2 Stars.

Take New Orleans UNDER 9.5 wins in a Strong Opinion for 1 Star.

 

2006 was a tremendous year for NFL selections on SpreadsGuru, hopefully everyone took advantage.  I am in the process of refining another years worth of game data, and adding that to my already successful process.  Stay tuned for selective preseason games, and please check the props page for 2007 NCAA and NFL best ideas.